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Climate scientists are wrong and here's why

In a recent citizen’s view, Steve Holgate proposes that even if climate scientists are wrong, good will come from their point of view.

Indeed, “climate” scientists are wrong. The last 17 years shows no statistically significant trend in the global temperature. Here in the Pacific Northwest, NOAA records show our winter temperatures have cooled at a rate of 1.2 degrees F per decade during the last 20 winters. Of 75 climate models predicting a hotter future climate, not a single one has been correct to date.

Steve’s anecdotes of alarm can be factually dismissed. However, let’s look at the bigger picture.

Sea level rise is slowing, with the rate from 2005 to 2012 below the range from 1954 to 2003. “Nature” reports that drought has “for the most part, become shorter, less frequent and covers a smaller portion of the U. S. over the last century.” The U.S. is currently experiencing the longest absence of severe landfall hurricanes in more than a century. The U.S. count of strong to violent tornados (F3+) has decreased from 1954 to 2012. There is no increase in floods in the U.S in frequency or intensity since 1950. We’ve just finished the coldest summer on record at the North Pole and a record high August Antarctic ice extent.

In referencing the “unanimous judgment of climate scientists,” he unknowingly refers to the infamous Doran survey to which 3,146 scientists responded. Of those, the survey’s authors self-selected only 77 to be included in the final tabulation, with 75 agreeing to the proposition, as would be expected, that indeed there must be at least “some” contribution by mankind to temperature, regardless how trivial. Stunningly, this is the (flawed) survey that created the oft-repeated meme “97 percent of scientists agree.”

Steve then proposes that regardless of whether the science is wrong, America should take “global leadership” toward mitigation efforts with a resulting “boom in our economy.”

Well, in Spain, 2.2 private sector jobs are lost for every one created through government-subsidized “green” jobs. In Italy it’s 4.8. Ruinous wind power schemes have increased energy prices in the U.K. by 25 percent and in five years are now projected to be as high as monthly mortgage payments. (Steve defines this as “affordable.”) Elderly pensioners are choosing between heat and food. A wind farm built near your house in the U.K. reduces the selling price 30 percent — if you can sell at all.

At the 2008 Copenhagen Consensus, eight of the world’s most distinguished economists, including five Nobel laureates, ranked climate mitigation — what Steve is proposing — the 30th and last place in a ranking of where to spend our resources. They pointed out that it is less expensive to fund adaptation efforts later, if needed, rather than robbing money from our children’s and grandchildren’s futures now. Further, the billions of dollars diverted every year to fund Kyoto and other schemes would be better used instead to actually eliminate the current, real challenges of disease, sanitation, malnutrition and hunger.

No, we don’t need scientists’ “points of view,” as even the most famous of the lot have been caught adjusting both data and even theory to accommodate politically correct positions and to keep the funding machine going. Global climate alarmism has been damaging to science and costly to society —- and potentially more so.

Larry Logan is a Lake Oswego resident who began studying global warming doctrinaire in 2007, attending climate conferences and communicating with scientists around the world. He is the author of “Do Wet Sidewalks Cause Rain?” a critical exposé of Al Gore/Bill Bradbury climate presentations.




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