Just for kicks, I recently looked up the records and rankings of the six teams that have beaten Oregon in the first 45 games of Chip Kelly's tenure as head coach.

The result?

The six teams had a combined 70-10 record in the seasons they beat the Ducks, with these final Associated Press rankings: 2009 — Boise State, fourth; Stanford, unranked; Ohio State, fifth; 2010 — Auburn, first; 2011 — LSU, second; USC, sixth. The Stanford Cardinal of 2009, you may remember, had a pretty decent QB-running back combo in Andrew Luck and Toby Gerhart and finished 8-5 — the other five teams that beat Oregon, then, combined for five losses in the seasons they beat the Ducks.

Translation: Under Kelly and his experienced staff, with their emphasis on practice and execution and depth and conditioning, the Ducks don't lose to teams they should beat. And, they should beat Washington (7:30 p.m. Saturday, Autzen Stadium, ESPN).

Not only because Oregon has won eight consecutive games in the series, with the closest being by 17 points last season, but because there appears to be some yin and yang happening with Kelly's team. Defense needs to make a stop or a play, it makes a stop or a play. Offense needs a drive and some points, it scores.

Believe it or not, the Ducks haven't played a complete game, even with five convincing wins — albeit against lesser opponents.

And, it's a game at Autzen, where the Ducks have lost once under Kelly, that one against the barrage of passes and offense by USC's NFL-caliber players last season.

I think the Huskies have improved their personnel, the defense has some attitude and confidence under new coordinator Justin Wilcox, and the offense has been led by an experienced quarterback in Keith Price.

Could the Huskies shock their rivals? Yeah, considering the Ducks haven't always clicked in games. The offense, led by redshirt freshman Marcus Mariota, is still a work-in-progress — with a suspect offensive line and receiving corps. It's obvious. At some point a team will expose the Ducks' weaknesses and beat them.

Do we see the polished Oregon offensive product Saturday night? No, but it'll be good enough. With Kelly making the calls, seemingly always pushing the right

buttons and using his offensive personnel wisely, and the defense playing at a high level, it's hard to imagine Oregon ending its eight-game winning streak against Washington. I thought UW would get the Ducks last year in the final game at old Husky Stadium, and it didn't happen.

I think the Ducks could face stiff challenges in their four upcoming Pac-12 road games — ASU, USC, Cal, Oregon State — and against Stanford at home, but Oregon will take care of Washington in a competitive game in front of a crowd of Husky haters at Autzen.

THE PICK: Oregon 38, Washington 24

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