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DUCKS NOTES: All kinds of scenarios for Oregon

Playing for a fourth Pac-12 title in a row, playing for a national championship — those things are out of Oregon's control now.

The Ducks lost a game, and that took control of the situation away from coach Chip Kelly and his players.

If Stanford beats UCLA (3:30 p.m. Saturday, FOX), the Cardinal will play for the Pac-12 title as the North Division champion.

Oregon must beat Oregon State (noon Saturday, Reser Stadium, Pac-12 Networks) to make the conference title game, given a Stanford loss.

If No. 1 and unbeaten Notre Dame beats USC (5 p.m. Saturday, ABC), the Irish will play the once-beaten SEC winner (Alabama or Georgia) in the national championship game, assuming both Alabama and Georgia enter the game with one loss.

The Ducks could win Saturday to move to 11-1, play in and beat UCLA in the Pac-12 title game and still be left out of the national championship game.

Then again, the Ducks could finish 11-1 and not play for the Pac-12 title, watch as Notre Dame loses to USC and Georgia loses to Georgia Tech, and leap past the Florida-Florida State winner and be positioned to play Alabama for the national title. It's extremely likely that Alabama will beat rival Auburn.

Then again, it's believed that both a one-loss Florida and Notre Dame would be ranked higher than Oregon by the computers.

The BCS standings released Sunday: Notre Dame, .977; Alabama, .933; Georgia, .876; Florida, .843; Oregon, .832.

Upheaval happened with Kansas State and Oregon losses on Saturday, the Ducks falling 17-14 in overtime at home to Stanford.

"The later you lose, you're going to drop down, and you don't have enough games to bring yourself back," ESPN analyst Kirk Herbstreit says. "Now the SEC champion is back in play.

"The SEC, it's not necessarily they get preferential treatment, they earn that based on the way they play football. ... Six years in a row (national champions), they've earned that (respect)."

An Oregon scenario to get back into the national title picture? A win at Oregon State and "the same chaos that we saw this past Saturday. These things sound crazy and farfetched, but they could happen," Herbstreit says.

Adds coach Chip Kelly: "The only thing that matters is winning Saturday. You could run through 27,000 scenarios. No scenarios if we lose work out for us."

If you think about it, there are scenarios that could place the Ducks anywhere from the BCS title game to the Sun Bowl. An ESPN bowl projection has Oregon playing Kansas State in the Fiesta Bowl. So, obviously, ESPN believes Oregon will beat Oregon State.

• What does Kelly expect from his team going into the Civil War game?

"I expect them to come out and practice their tails off," he says.

Kelly says nothing from preparation last week tipped off that the Ducks would struggle against Stanford.

"We practiced very well," he says. "You've got to give Stanford credit. I thought they played really well. The ball bounces another way, it's a different game."

"That's football. You can't live in the past. You've got to move forward. Stanford was fortunate to make one more play than us, and they deserved the victory."

Stanford rushed for 200 yards on 46 carries, held the ball for 37:05 to Oregon's 22:55, contained Oregon's running game and QB Marcus Mariota (other than on a 77-yard run) with its stellar defensive front seven, disguised its defenses and had athletes (this time) to close space and cover and tackle — a recipe for beating the Ducks, as six previous victors had done.

Oregon went 4 of 17 on third-down conversions, punted eight times and failed on two fourth-down conversions.

"They wanted to move the ball slowly and control the clock," safety Brian Jackson says. "Their thing was to control the clock. Their quarterback (Kevin Hogan) made a lot of moves on his feet to keep the play alive."

• What has happened with the UO running game? Kenjon Barner had rushed for 321 yards at USC, then Cal and Stanford held him to 41 carries for 131 yards total. The Ducks have been held to less than 200 yards on the ground in consecutive games.

Against Cal, Mariota made the Bears pay for ganging up on the run (377 yards passing, six TDs). Against Stanford, the redshirt freshman quarterback and his receivers couldn't get anything going consistently (Mariota was 21 of 37 for 207 yards and one TD).

"They just did a great job of executing their game plan," Barner says. "Guys were in the right spots at the right times. That's pretty much all there was to it."

•Â Barner needs 15 yards to move past Derek Loville (3,296) and into second on UO's all-time rushing list.

• Stanford (7-1 in Pac-12 play and holding the head-to-head tiebreaker with the Ducks) controls its destiny. Win against UCLA, and face the Bruins in the Pac-12 title game.

"Our word of the week was 'resolve,' " coach David Shaw says. "It was about us playing our best football and withstanding a mad rush we knew we were going to get from a great football team in Oregon. Our kids keep fighting.

"There is no trophy for this game (vs. Oregon). There is no tangible evidence of this game. All we did was put ourselves in a good position, and we are going to play a really good UCLA team next week."

• Shaw, on Mariota: "They'll be good for a while, as long as that quarterback is here. I honestly wish they would change that rule about letting guys go pro early. He's special."

• Linebacker Michael Clay, who had 20 tackles against Stanford, says Cardinal tight ends Zach Ertz and Levin Toilolo "are both going to be catching balls on Sunday soon," meaning in the NFL. Ertz had 11 catches for 106 yards, including the game-tying TD on a 10-yard Hogan pass with 1:35 to play. It was ruled incomplete, Ertz out of bounds, but the call was overturned on review.

"I knew I caught it," he says. "I just wasn't sure if I was in-bounds or not. I went up, caught it, but (Ifo Ekpre-Olomu) kind of stuck his hand up in there and he broke it up, but the ball bounced my way. It was a great play."